Updated Data: 2012 IL-PRES Maps & Vote Analysis

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The Illinois State Board of Elections met to certify the vote totals on Sunday night. There was only one statewide race this cycle so I updated the maps and the various vote analysis spreadsheets and they are now available. As always, general election maps can be found in the MAPS section and vote analysis spreadsheets can be found in the VOTE ANALYSIS section. If you’re ever looking for more data than what is displayed just send me an email and if I have it I’ll send it to you regardless of who you are or who you work for.

MAPS

Here are direct links to the 2012 Presidential race maps:

For now the maps only display the color-coded performance of the Democratic candidate. For an explanation to that and answers to other map related questions see the maps FAQ.

VOTE ANALYSIS

Here are direct links to the spreadsheets that include the 2012 Presidential race and allow you to compare performance, turnout and vote share by county, ward, township, media market and region (both traditional & expanded collars) to historical data:

BY COUNTY

BY CHICAGO WARD

BY COOK COUNTY TOWNSHIP

BY MEDIA MARKET

BY REGION (TRADITIONAL COLLARS)

BY REGION (EXPANDED COLLARS

For an explanation on the difference between traditional and expanded collars or any other questions see the Vote Share FAQ.

The data update schedule I laid out previously looks to be on schedule. I’ve started assembling the data to update the 6 targeted congressional races already and all I’m waiting on is for a few local county/municipal clerks to update their websites with the official precinct-level results. Whenever they do it’s only about two days worth of work to get the updated congressional data up. Also I’ve already started assembling the financial records for past statewide candidates to get the campaign budget data for constitutional candidates, I’m guessing sometime around January for that. Plus, I’ve finally figured out how (conceptually) to update the MAPS section so that you can see a color coded map for more than just one candidate. It’s going to take a lot of backend coding (and trial and error) so I have no idea when that will actually be available but at least I’m pretty sure it’s a possibility now. Enjoy.

Updating Data: 2012 General Election Results

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All of the Illinois election results will be made official on or around December 7th when the State Board of Elections is supposed to review and accept the official canvass of the county clerks and the municipal election authorities. I’ll probably update the statewide race (there was only one) first and make available the vote total maps and the new county/ward/township/region/media market vote total numbers. Depending on my free time that should only take a few days.

Next I’ll update the same info but for the targeted congressional districts. That will take a little longer because I have to get the precinct level data individually from the various county clerks and municipal election authorities covering those areas and that data tends to always be in some not very easy to use format that requires reformatting.

The campaign budgets section has always had the campaign budgets of key congressional races and sometime after the 1st of February 2013 when the final reports are filed for the 2012 cycle I’ll go back through these campaign finance reports and do the work to add those budgets to the data sets.

I’ve also always planned to add the campaign budget data sets for key past statewide races in Illinois and with the Governor’s race primaries heating up I plan to do just that early next year. Should be long and tedious but hopefully interesting to look at.

Last, all of the data in the maps and vote total analysis sections are for general elections only so far for a lot of reasons mostly due to time and difficulty. However with interesting primaries headed our way for 2014 I’d like to find a way to update the site to include a lot of primary data (probably not all for practical reasons) and I’m starting to think through how to tackle that massive undertaking. I’m still not really sure how or when but it’s somewhat on the to-do list.

Anyway, looking to have plenty of new data available to look at soon.

Scorecards for IL-08, IL-10, IL-11, IL-12, IL-13 & IL-17

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I’ve completed the analysis for the 6 new targeted congressional districts in Illinois by going through them precinct by precinct and comparing the performance of past statewide candidates, plus turnout and vote share. Not long after I started this I really wished I hadn’t, this took forever but it’s pretty interesting data now that it’s done.

You can get to this data in the future by going through the VOTE ANALYSIS toolbar at the top. Or you can go to the individual pages directly:

Quick Glance

Here’s a quick glance comparison of the difference between the Democratic/Republican candidate by past statewide contest for each district:

IL-08 IL-10 IL-11 IL-12 IL-13 IL-17 Statewide
10SEN R +11.26 R +12.98 R +06.64 R +08.52 R +18.72 R +15.38 R +01.59
10GOV R +07.60 R +01.16 R +04.31 R +06.08 R +19.99 R +14.59 D +00.69
10AG D +27.18 D +30.74 D +29.01 D +19.73 D +18.25 D +22.90 D +33.07
10SOS D +39.38 D +41.42 D +41.35 D +27.14 D +28.91 D +33.39 D +42.85
10COMP R +26.29 R +21.21 R +18.81 R +10.04 R +24.79 R +16.74 R +11.74
10TREAS R +19.05 R +13.39 R +12.74 R +04.70 R +19.97 R +09.76 R +04.42
08PRES D +14.69 D +25.40 D +21.01 D +10.99 D +09.31 D +19.37 D +25.14
08SEN D +34.13 D +36.89 D +33.34 D +30.06 D +29.97 D +35.27 D +39.31
06GOV   D +08.14   D +14.74   D +08.31 D +10.55
06AG   D +50.95   D +33.62   D +32.84 D +48.20
06SOS   D +32.73   D +24.01   D +24.23 D +29.79
06COMP   D +30.28   D +27.21   D +27.33 D +32.76
06TREAS   D +09.03   D +11.67   D +10.53 D +12.70
04PRES       D +02.57   D +06.20 D +10.34
04SEN       D +33.15   D +38.42 D +42.92

Unless something drastically changes I’m probably not going to be in front of a computer crunching numbers on election night, but for any of you preparing a master spreadsheet for a boiler room on any of these races you should have enough here to put together a good system.