Scorecards for IL-08, IL-10, IL-11, IL-12, IL-13 & IL-17

Published on Author Scott KennedyLeave a comment

I’ve completed the analysis for the 6 new targeted congressional districts in Illinois by going through them precinct by precinct and comparing the performance of past statewide candidates, plus turnout and vote share. Not long after I started this I really wished I hadn’t, this took forever but it’s pretty interesting data now that it’s done.

You can get to this data in the future by going through the VOTE ANALYSIS toolbar at the top. Or you can go to the individual pages directly:

Quick Glance

Here’s a quick glance comparison of the difference between the Democratic/Republican candidate by past statewide contest for each district:

IL-08 IL-10 IL-11 IL-12 IL-13 IL-17 Statewide
10SEN R +11.26 R +12.98 R +06.64 R +08.52 R +18.72 R +15.38 R +01.59
10GOV R +07.60 R +01.16 R +04.31 R +06.08 R +19.99 R +14.59 D +00.69
10AG D +27.18 D +30.74 D +29.01 D +19.73 D +18.25 D +22.90 D +33.07
10SOS D +39.38 D +41.42 D +41.35 D +27.14 D +28.91 D +33.39 D +42.85
10COMP R +26.29 R +21.21 R +18.81 R +10.04 R +24.79 R +16.74 R +11.74
10TREAS R +19.05 R +13.39 R +12.74 R +04.70 R +19.97 R +09.76 R +04.42
08PRES D +14.69 D +25.40 D +21.01 D +10.99 D +09.31 D +19.37 D +25.14
08SEN D +34.13 D +36.89 D +33.34 D +30.06 D +29.97 D +35.27 D +39.31
06GOV   D +08.14   D +14.74   D +08.31 D +10.55
06AG   D +50.95   D +33.62   D +32.84 D +48.20
06SOS   D +32.73   D +24.01   D +24.23 D +29.79
06COMP   D +30.28   D +27.21   D +27.33 D +32.76
06TREAS   D +09.03   D +11.67   D +10.53 D +12.70
04PRES       D +02.57   D +06.20 D +10.34
04SEN       D +33.15   D +38.42 D +42.92

Unless something drastically changes I’m probably not going to be in front of a computer crunching numbers on election night, but for any of you preparing a master spreadsheet for a boiler room on any of these races you should have enough here to put together a good system.

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